Property Sale Signals

Visuals

Evidence hierarchy

Use this hierarchy for the east-bay-catholic-property-sales-monitor and the diocese-of-oakland watch.

Red signals: notify Eric

• Broker listing appears with candidate church/site name, address, asking price, or offering memorandum.
• Bankruptcy docket motion/order seeks approval to sell a named site, hire a broker, approve bid procedures, or approve a purchase agreement.
• Bankruptcy plan, disclosure statement, or plan supplement names a specific church/site as anticipated for sale, disposition, or collateralization to fund the plan. Label carefully if the document says sold or collateralized rather than confirmed sale.
• Credible news report names buyer, developer, asking price, sale price, or imminent listing.
• County recorder/deed or assessor transfer record shows ownership movement.
• City planning/pre-application/permit filing appears for redevelopment of a candidate site.

Amber signals: record and summarize

• Parish bulletin announces final Mass, move-out date, property meeting, or closure implementation date.
• Diocese FAQ/MAP/Chapter 11 page changes language around disposition, sale, or proceeds.
• Broker or developer pages mention a site without price.
• Neighborhood reporting confirms organized buyer/developer interest.

Green/no-change signals

• General commentary about closures without new sale, price, buyer, docket, or permit information.
• Social-media speculation without a primary source.

Cost labels

• asking price: public listing or offering memorandum.
• sale price: closed transaction or court-approved purchase price.
• court value: value asserted in bankruptcy filing or disclosure statement.
• assessed value: county tax assessor data.
• broker estimate: named broker valuation.
• agent estimate: explicit model/agent estimate from comparables; never present as fact.
• unknown: no grounded price yet.